Thursday, October 4, 2012

ADX Basic Signals

ADX Basic Signals



Short Mode



  • ADX > 25
  • -DMI above +DMI

Scalp Mode



  • ADX < 25
  • DMI spikes above 25

Long Mode



  • ADX > 25
  • +DMI above –DMI



Point #1

Low ADX Periods—No Trend Trading



ADX Trend Strength Rule



  • When ADX is above 25, trend strength is strong enough for trend trading strategies
  • When ADX is below 25, avoid trend trading

strategies (optional: scalp trades)



























Born to Chop





















































Point # 2

Best Trades Begin From Low ADX Periods



􀂄 ADX Trendline Rule



􀂄 When ADX is below 25 for an extended period,

draw trendlines on price and wait for a breakout



􀂄 DMI Breakout Rule



􀂄 A valid breakout up requires a new high in price and

a new high in +DMI (and +DMI > 25)

􀂄 A valid breakout down requires a new low in price

and a new high in –DMI (and -DMI > 25)












ADX POWER



Crossover High (+DMI)

Change of Dominance





















Crossover High (+DMI)

Change of Dominance





















ADX POWER LONG SETUP

􀂄 Price has a consolidation period for at least 30 bars (any timeframe) with a price pattern.

􀂄 ADX is less than 25 during the consolidation (preferably less than 15).

􀂄 Both DMI lines are above ADX prior to the breakout.

􀂄 The +DMI makes a crossover high as price breaks the top trendline.

􀂄 Price retraces to the 20 EMA and holds (first retracement) while the +DMI makes a pivot low at or near 25.

􀂄 Enter long on a price pivot low reversal (up)







ADX POWER SHORT SETUP

􀂄 Price has a consolidation period for at least 30 bars (any timeframe) with a price pattern.

􀂄 ADX is less than 25 during the consolidation (preferably less than 15).

􀂄 Both DMI lines are above ADX prior to the breakout.

􀂄 The –DMI makes a crossover high as price breaks below the bottom trendline.

􀂄 Price retraces to the 20 EMA and holds (first retracement)

while –DMI makes a pivot low at or near 25.

􀂄 Enter short on a price pivot high reversal (down).










































Point #3

Following ADX Peak >25, the Trend is More Likely to Continue Than Reverse



􀂄 DMI Continuation High Rule

􀂄 During a retracement, when DMI dominance is maintained, a new high in the dominant DMI confirms continuation of the trend

􀂄 New high –DMI and new low in price, or new high in +DMI and a new high in price

􀂄 Variation: Cross ADX TREND

􀂄 DMI lines cross, but there is no change of DMI dominance



ADX TREND LONG SETUP

􀂄 Price makes a new high and ADX rises above 25.

􀂄 Price retraces down near the 20 EMA.

􀂄 ADX turns down during the price retracement.

􀂄 The –DMI does not cross +DMI on the retracement.

􀂄 Enter long when price makes a new high and +DMI

makes new high.



ADX TREND SHORT SETUP

􀂄 Price makes a new low and ADX rises above 25.

􀂄 Price retraces up near the 20 EMA.

􀂄 ADX turns down during the price retracement.

􀂄 The +DMI does not cross –DMI (or crosses slightly

without a change of dominance).

􀂄 Enter short when price makes a new low and -DMI

makes new high.



+DMI Continuation High



















-DMI Continuation High



















Don’t Think! Follow Price/DMI Pivots
































































Point #4

Get Out of a Trend Trade With ADX Divergence



􀂄 ADX Divergence Rule: When ADX is divergent with

price, exit part or full position

􀂄 Most trading education focuses on making the perfect

entry

􀂄 Exits are harder and more important for profit

consistency

􀂄Divergence =Decision

􀂄 Sell partial position (half) or full exit





















































































































Divergence Deception = Climax


























Point #5

ADX Warns a Trend is About to End/Reverse

􀂄 Declining ADX peaks suggests trend is nearing completion

􀂄 An ADX peak of 25 or less often precedes trend reversals

􀂄 The end of a trend is an exit, but not necessarily a reversal entry

ADX exhaustion

􀂄 The ADX exhaustion is a trend reversal strategy following a series of lower ADX

highs, the last being 25 or less.

􀂄 ADX exhaustion gets its name from gradual price exhaustion at the end of a trend

􀂄 Price is divergent with ADX peaks

􀂄 Trend Principle: trends seldom reverse without warning










































































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