Fat-tailed distribution - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fat-tailed_distribution
Levy flight from a Cauchy Distribution compared to Brownian Motion (below). ... by five or more standard deviations ("5-sigma events") have lower probability, ...
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Lévy distribution - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lévy_distribution
For the more general family of Lévy alpha-stable distributions, of which this ... Like all stable distributions, the Levy distribution has a standard form f(x;0,1) which ...
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Volatility and the Square Root of Time
Friday, April 17th, 2015 | Vance Harwood
It’s not obvious (at least to me) that volatility theoretically scales with the square root of time (sqrt[t]). For example if the market’s daily volatility is 0.5%, then the volatility for two days should be the square root of 2 times the daily volatility (0.5% * 1.414 = 0.707%), or for a 5 day stretch 0.5% * sqrt(5) = 1.118%.
This relationship holds for ATM option prices too. With the Black and Scholes model if an option due to expire in 30 days has a price of $1, then the 60 day option with the same strike price and implied volatility should be priced at sqrt (60/30) = $1 * 1.4142 = $1.4142 (assuming zero interest rates and no dividends).
This relationship holds for ATM option prices too. With the Black and Scholes model if an option due to expire in 30 days has a price of $1, then the 60 day option with the same strike price and implied volatility should be priced at sqrt (60/30) = $1 * 1.4142 = $1.4142 (assuming zero interest rates and no dividends).
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